PARIS -- French
President Nicolas Sarkozy's June 17 call for "a massive
investment" in space-based intelligence faces stiff resistance in France and an
uncertain reception by France's European partners, French government and
industry officials said. Opposition on either front could be lethal for the
proposals, they added.
Sarkozy
is calling for no real increase in defense spending. Instead, space-based
assets would be financed from savings resulting from cuts in the number of French
military personnel and the closure of unneeded military bases in France.
In Europe, the reaction of Germany
and Italy will be key to determining whether
satellites for missile detection and radar and electronics eavesdropping will
be built. French officials have said they are unlikely to go it alone for such
investment, especially since France's arms procurement agency, DGA, already has built or is building
demonstrator satellites for those purposes. The next step would be operational
systems that would be much more expensive and would need support elsewhere in Europe.
"If we want
a truly operational system it's clear it needs to be developed in cooperation
with our partners in Europe," said Joel Chenet,
senior vice president for strategy at Thales Alenia Space of France and Italy, one of Europe's two
principal satellite prime contractors.
In a June 18 interview, Chenet said the development of multinational space-hardware
builders in Europe — Astrium of France, Germany, Britain
and Spain is the other prime example — is making it easier for pan-European
military satellite efforts to move forward — in principle. "What we need now is
for the president's goals to find an echo in concrete program proposals and
increased annual budgets starting later this year," Chenet
said. "We should recall that would not be the first time that high-level
proposals have called for new investment and that the follow-through has been disappointing."
In February
2007, the French Defense Ministry set space as one of its highest priorities.
No budget or program proposals were forthcoming.
"No action
has taken place so far despite the high-level backing," Bernard Molard, Astrium's defense and
security advisor, said during a May conference on military space policy. Sarkozy's June 17 remarks were delivered to a military audience
and were accompanied by a 48-page White Paper on Defense and National Security
— the first long-term military spending blueprint for France since 1994.
The
document calls for the creation of a Joint Space Command for military space oversight
to be managed by the French air force and placed under the authority of the
Joint Defense Staff.
Sarkozy said
he backed a ballistic missile-warning satellite and an operational space-based
capability for localizing and identifying radar transmissions.
"Knowledge and anticipation will be the
top priority," Sarkozy said of the new French defense
posture, which calls for major cuts in the number of armed forces personnel and
the closing of numerous military installations to pay for the new effort in
strategic reconnaissance. "I have decided to make a massive — massive — investment
in intelligence, notably space-based systems, which will benefit both the
military leadership and political decision makers."
The White
Paper calls for a doubling of France's current annual military space budget of
380 million euros ($585 million) "in the coming years."
The only
mission specifically referenced in the White Paper is the Ceres radar-intercept
satellite, which would follow the four-satellite Elisa technology demonstration
mission scheduled for launch in 2010. The first test of the White Paper's
ability to survive a difficult government budget environment will come in the
fall, when the French Defense Ministry will incorporate the new policy into a spending
proposal to be reviewed by the French parliament.
The White Paper's other proposals include:
§
Development
by 2020 of a ballistic missile-detection and early warning capability featuring
ground-based radar and satellite assets. Thales Alenia Space and Astrium are
building two Spirale missile-warning demonstrator
satellites scheduled to be launched this year as piggyback payloads into
geostationary-transfer orbit. "France expects this program to acquire a European
dimension as soon as possible," the document says.
§
Support
of a European industrial base to avoid being dependent on non-European nations
for key defense and aerospace-related electronics, and especially in response
to export restrictions elsewhere, notably the U.S. International Traffic in
Arms Regulations export licensing regime.