WASHINGTON and
BOSTON — Standing by the new space policy the White House issued last year, a
U.S. State Department official said China's Jan. 11 test of an anti-satellite
weapon in space is not cause to open negotiations on a new treaty that would
place limits on what countries can do in space.
"We do not
think there is an arms race in space. The United States believes that the existing body of existing international
agreements — including the Outer Space Treaty, as well as the liability and
respective compensation conventions — provide the appropriate legal regime for
space," the State Department official said in a Jan. 19 telephone interview.
The
official said the space policy clearly states that the United States will
oppose the development of new legal regimes or other restrictions that seek to
prohibit or limit U.S. access to, or use of, space and that no change in that
policy is warranted.
"Arms
control is not a viable solution for space. For example, there is no agreement
on how to define space weapon. Without a definition you are left with loopholes
and meaningless limitations that endanger national security. No arms control is
better than bad arms control," the State Department official said.
Gordon
Johndroe, the National Security Council's (NSC) chief spokesman, said in a
statement provided by an NSC press official Jan. 18 that the Chinese used a
ground-based, medium-range ballistic missile to knock out an aging Chinese
weather satellite orbiting the Earth at an altitude of about 865 kilometers.
Johndroe described
the incident as a kinetic strike, adding: "The United States believes China's
development and testing of such weapons is inconsistent with the spirit of
cooperation that both countries aspire to in the civil space area. We and other
countries have expressed our concern regarding this action to the Chinese."
The State
Department official said U.S. Defense Support Program missile warning
satellites and "other assets" detected the launch of a ballistic missile and an
event that generated debris. "Our space-tracking sensors subsequently observed
that an old Chinese weather satellite is no longer on orbit. ... We will
continue to track these pieces of debris. We are especially concerned about any
increased risk to satellites, but most importantly to human spaceflight,
including the U.S. space shuttle and the international
space station."
The State
Department official also said the United States received no advance notice from the Chinese. "We have
expressed our concern to the Chinese and asked them to clarify their intentions
in seeking to develop a ballistic-missile-based anti-satellite capability. ...
The Chinese have not responded to our expressions of concern."
A U.S. intelligence official told Space News Jan. 19
the Chinese had conducted two previous tests that were unsuccessful, but
declined to provide any additional details.
A Senate
aide said the Jan. 11 test was the first one that was successful. The aide also
said weather satellite was under control but dying. "It made a lot of debris
potentially affecting other satellites in [low Earth orbit]. We have to track
each piece to see where it goes to see which satellites specifically are
potentially at risk," the aide said, adding: "I hope the U.S. does now spend more and take space situational awareness
more seriously."
Bretton
Alexander, a former White House Office of Science and Technology Policy senior
analyst who worked on space issues for both the Clinton and Bush
administrations, said the Chinese anti-satellite test is a reminder of why the United States believes it needs to protect its
space-based capabilities.
"The Bush
administration has been on the defensive about its policy language on the need
to defend U.S. space assets," Alexander said. "But
this highlights that the threat is real and why we need to protect our assets."
Early
details of the event were first reported Jan. 17 in a blog written by Jeffrey
Lewis, executive director of Harvard's Managing the Atom Project, on the Web
site armscontrolwonk.com and in a story posted Jan. 18 on the Web site
aviationnow.com.
"This is an
enormous mess they [the Chinese] have created. There is no excuse for what is a
reckless, stupid and self-defeating decision on their part," Lewis said in a
telephone interview Jan. 17.
Lewis said
a U.S. Air Force database of objects in orbit showed the Chinese FY-11 weather
satellite intact on Jan. 11, but that the data a day later "showed about 40
pieces of debris, which is probably just the tip of the iceberg." Lewis said.
Space-Track.org is the Air Force Web site that provides public satellite
tracking data.
Lewis said
one positive result of the Chinese action could be a call for improved debris
field modeling. "Our models of debris spread are quite speculative, so this
event should help improve our models," Lewis said.
Reaction
was almost universally critical of the Chinese actions.
"Space
technologies are critical to the U.S. military and to the U.S. economy, so any
action that puts our space assets at risk is a matter of great concern," House
Armed Services Committee Chairman Ike Skelton (D-Mo.) said in a statement
issued by his office. Skelton said the committee "will carefully monitor
activity that may impact the way the U.S.
military utilizes space technology."
A
U.S.-based China watcher, who asked not to be
identified, said the Chinese "shot themselves in the foot with this one. They
couldn't resist this demonstration of their capabilities after we came out with
our space policy saying, we are going to defend the heavens. The new [U.S]
space policy says we can defend the heavens with technology. But we can't and
the Chinese just proved it."
Arthur
Ding, a research fellow at the National Chengchi University's Institute of International Relations in Taiwan, said China's
motivation is likely rooted in their perception of the new U.S. space policy.
"The
perception is that the U.S. is attempting to dominate space and
the U.S. refuses any space-related arms
control," Ding said. "Further, China suspects
that the U.S. is attempting to militarize space
in the future." A possible consequence is that space-related arms control is
likely to be added to U.S.-China dialogue in the future," he said.
Joan
Johnson-Freese, chair of the Naval War College's
department of national security decision making and one of the United States' top experts on Chinese space
issues, said the long-term impact of the incident will probably not be that
severe.
"I think
there will be a lot of very vocal rhetoric, but I don't think it will have a
substantive impact. There are just too many reasons for both of us to work
together on so many issues," she said.
Correspondent
Wendell Minnick contributed to this article from Taipei. Staff writer Brian Berger
contributed from Washington.