Hobbled Kepler May Resume Alien World Search
MOFFETT FIELD, Calif. — NASA’s prolific Kepler spacecraft could get a new mission that allows it to continue searching for alien planets, albeit in a modified fashion.
Kepler team members are drawing up new plans for the space telescope, whose original exoplanet hunt was derailed in May when the second of its four orientation-maintaining reaction wheels failed. The potential “K2” mission would peer into the plane of Earth’s orbit, hunting primarily for planets circling relatively small stars.
“We expect to find dozens, or maybe even hundreds, of such planets,” Kepler principal investigator Bill Borucki of NASA’s Ames Research Center said here Nov. 4 at a news conference.
“If we’re looking at smaller stars at shorter [orbital] periods, we may find, in fact, many of those are also in the habitable zone,” he added.
Kepler, launched in March 2009, detects alien worlds by noting the brightness dips caused when planets transit, or pass in front of, their host stars from the instrument’s perspective.
Scientists discussed the mission’s latest discoveries at the Kepler Science Conference Nov. 4-8 at NASA Research Park here.
The $600 million Kepler mission has been incredibly successful, spotting more than 3,500 potential exoplanets so far. Just 167 of them have been confirmed by follow-up observations to date, but scientists expect that 90 percent or so will end up being the real deal.
But Kepler is in a period of transition. The data-gathering portion of its primary mission ended in May when its second reaction wheel failed, robbing the spacecraft of its ultraprecise pointing ability. Engineers could not recover either wheel, and the mission team has thus been thinking hard about new ways to use Kepler, which is otherwise in good health.
“The spacecraft’s in great shape; the instrument’s in great shape,” Kepler project manager Charlie Sobeck, also of NASA’s Ames Research Center, said during a presentation here. Kepler has plenty of fuel left as well, he added.
In August, NASA issued a call for new mission proposals, asking scientists around the world for ideas about the best ways to use a compromised Kepler. After reviewing these submissions, mission researchers have settled on K2, which they say should return valuable data in a variety of fields.
During its original mission, Kepler stared continuously at more than 150,000 stars in a small patch of sky. But if K2 comes to pass, the instrument will take a broader view, covering five to 10 times more area.
The K2 mission would have Kepler study four to six “fields” per year, observing each one for a minimum of 40 days but preferably for 70 to 80 days, Kepler project scientist Steve Howell, also of Ames, said here during his talk at the conference. The spacecraft would study 10,000 to 20,000 targets within each field, he added.
All of these fields would be roughly in the plane of Earth’s orbit — also known as the ecliptic — because such an orientation would maximize Kepler’s compromised pointing ability.
The K2 mission would likely turn up many small exoplanets around small stars, including some in the habitable zone, Howell said. It could also spot a number of alien worlds around bright stars, which would make good targets for follow-up observation by NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope, an $8.8 billion mission due to launch in 2018.
But K2 would not just be about exoplanets, Howell added. Kepler could also gather data about supernova explosions, star formation and solar-system bodies such as asteroids and comets, among other things.
K2 would be conducted at the same time that researchers are performing “close-out” work for the original Kepler mission, making sure they have squeezed all the important information out of the instrument’s enormous data set. Both activities would likely be undertaken without a bump in Kepler’s budget, which is currently about $18 million per year, Sobeck said.
“Clearly, this is a challenge,” he said. “It’s not beyond the reach. I think it’s something that we might be able to achieve.”
The Kepler team is working on the close-out plan for Kepler’s original mission and the official proposal for K2, both of which are due to NASA headquarters by Nov. 20, Howell said. NASA officials will then decide by Dec. 6 if the K2 idea will progress to a vetting stage called “senior review,” he added. But the ultimate call on K2, and Kepler’s fate, likely won’t come for a while.
“We expect to hear that decision sometime toward the middle of next year,” Borucki said.